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Frederica Focus - AI Stock Sleigh Delivers

Frederica Focus - AI Stock Sleigh Delivers

December 30, 2025

We hope that everyone had a great Christmas and holiday season.  I don't know about you, but I am ready to see what 2026 has in store.  

Markets didn't wait for permission last week.  Strong economic data and a dose of good old holiday momentum pushed stocks into Santa Claus rally mode, ignoring the consumer's lingering bah-humbug.  

The S&P was up 1.4%, the Nasdaq gained 1.22%, and the DOW closed the week up 1.2%.  International was right there as well finishing 1.16%

AI Stock Sleigh Delivers

Stocks rallied at the start of the week, riding pre-holiday momentum as artificial intelligence (AI) related technology names continued to drive gains.3

Fresh data out Tuesday initially quashed market momentum, reflecting investor concern that the stronger-than-expected Q3 economic growth might dissuade the Fed from adjusting interest rates in 2026.

But those fears appeared to subside after a Fed official said the U.S. is “way behind the curve in terms of lowering rates” compared with other central banks around the world. Those comments, combined with continued momentum and market leadership from the AI trade, boosted sentiment and lifted the S&P 500 to a record close despite a fresh consumer confidence reading that missed expectations.4

Christmas Eve brought more of the same, kicking off what’s known as the “Santa Claus rally” period-the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year. The S&P hit new intraday and closing highs on Wednesday’s shortened trading day, its fifth consecutive session of gains.5

While stocks largely went sideways on Friday amid thin holiday volume. The S&P 500 hit another intraday high, and all three major averages posted weekly gains. It was the S&P’s fourth weekly gain in five weeks.6

Source: YCharts.com, December 27, 2025. Weekly performance is measured from Friday, December 19, to Friday, December 26. TR = total return for the index, which includes any dividends as well as any other cash distributions during the period. Treasury note yield is expressed in basis points.

GDP Jumps

The delayed Q3 gross domestic product report was released on Tuesday, showing that the economy grew at an annualized 4.3 percent rate. That number beat expectations by more than a full percentage point and marked the strongest economic growth in two years.7

While it didn’t garner many headlines, another metric released on the same day told a similar story. Industrial production grew 2.5 percent year over year in November—the highest annualized increase since September 2022 and nearly triple what it was at the start of 2025.8

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Monday: Pending Home Sales.

Tuesday: Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Minutes of the Fed’s December FOMC meeting.

Wednesday: Weekly Jobless Claims.

Thursday: NEW YEAR’S DAY—MARKETS CLOSED.

* indicates publication of a report delayed by the government shutdown in October and November

Source: Investors Business Daily - Econoday economic calendar; December 26, 2025. The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to provide accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts are also subject to revision.

Should You Work with a Tax Preparer?

Before handing over your tax return (and all of your personally identifiable information), do some homework.  According to the IRS, a solid tax preparer should check these boxes:

  • show up in the IRS Directory of Federal Tax Return Preparers
  • Have a clean track record with the BBB
  • Be transparent about fees
  • Use e-File (because it is 2025, not 1995)
  • Be available to you all year - April shouldn't mean "ghosted"
  • Sign your return and include their PTIN (non-negotiable)
  • Clearly explain their credentials

Bottom line:  a reputable tax preparer doesn't just file forms, they help protect you, your return, and your sleep quality at night!

*this information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice.  PLEASE discuss your individual tax matters with a qualified tax professional.


Sea Cucumbers on Sea floor

Funafuti Atoll, Tuvalu, Pacific Islands

We get asked this question a few times a year:

    "Should I tell my kids about our wealth?"

Short answer is:  YES, but not all at once and definitely without a plan in place.

Money doesn't create entitlement: secrets and surprises do.  When kids find out about family wealth accidentally, usually during a crisis or death, it often causes confusion, anxiety, and perhaps resentment.  Thoughtful transparency, introduced gradually and tied to values, tends to work far better than a dramatic reveal.

The goal isn't to disclose numbers, it is to explain intent:  what the money is for, what it isn't for, and what you hope it supports (education, responsibility, and family harmony).  This conversation should evolve over time and consider the age, maturity, and personality of all involved.

The risk isn't telling them.  It is telling them too late and without context.



"Investment performance doesn't determine real-life returns, investor behavior does."  - Nick Murray, "Simple Wealth, Inevitable Wealth"


I could write a book or two about everything I have learned about investor behavior.  But I will save the time and you the effort in reading it.  This quote encapsulates investor psychology as well as anything I have read.  It's the part nobody wants to hear.  Markets do not sabotage investors, investors sabotage themselves, chasing what's hot, bailing out at the worst possible time, then wondering why their portfolio returns never seem to match the indices.

Great funds fail all the time, not because they underperform, but because people buy them late and sell them early, repeating the cycle with confidence.

The greatest risk to your financial plan is not the markets, the volatility, the Fed, or whatever the guy in the White House is doing, it's you, on your worst day, with wi-fi and a trading app.  It's you watching get rich quick videos on YouTube.

Good investing isn't about the perfect fund, it's about building a plan you can stick with when things get uncomfortable, and they will get uncomfortable!  This is where the real returns are made.



We love helping you and would love to help 10 more just like you!  If you have found our advice helpful in any way, the best compliment that you can give us is an introduction.  We work best with families who value long-term perspective, thoughtful planning, and straight answers, especially when things get noisy.

If you think anyone can benefit from this blog, please forward it on to them, and we will take good care of anyone you send our way.








Footnotes And Sources

1. WSJ.com, December 26, 2025
2. Investing.com, December 26, 2025
3. CNBC.com, December 22, 2025
4. CNBC.com, December 23, 2025
5. CNBC.com, December 24, 2025
6. CNBC.com, December 26, 2025
7. WSJ.com, December 23, 2025
8. KPMG.com, December 23, 2025
9. IRS.gov, April 23, 2025 
10. Healthline, June 16, 2025

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